Morocco is set to record its strongest cereal harvest in five years in the 2025/2026 agricultural season, as improved rainfall reverses the impact of prolonged drought and boosts crop yields across key farming regions.
The country’s total cereal production is expected to exceed 8 million tonnes, marking an increase of nearly 80% compared with the 4.4 million tonnes harvested in the previous season. If confirmed, the outcome would represent Morocco’s best performance since the 2020/2021 season, when cereal output reached about 10.3 million tonnes.
The rebound has been driven largely by well-distributed rainfall from late November 2025 through early 2026, following a dry start to the season. Improved precipitation significantly enhanced soil moisture levels and replenished water reserves, creating more favorable conditions for cereal crops such as wheat, barley, and maize.
Moroccan authorities have indicated that the improved weather conditions signal the end of a drought cycle that began in 2019, which had severely constrained agricultural output and increased reliance on food imports in recent years.
Despite the strong recovery, projected production remains below Morocco’s historical peak of approximately 11.5 million tonnes recorded in the 2014/2015 season, highlighting the continued vulnerability of the sector to climatic variability.
A stronger cereal harvest is expected to ease pressure on food imports, which weighed heavily on the country’s trade balance in 2024. Morocco spent an estimated 27 billion dirhams (around $2.9 billion) on cereal imports last year, making grains one of its largest food import categories.
The anticipated rise in domestic output could help stabilize supply, reduce import costs, and support rural incomes as Morocco enters the new agricultural season under more favorable conditions.
